Limits of use
A key aspect of this Zonation Scheme is the determination of the appropriate levels of visitor use in the various zones, which in the KWS PAPF planning process is termed “Limits of Acceptable Use”, or LAU. In order to determine the number of visitors per day that is acceptable in each zone, the PAPF uses a simple modelling approach based on vehicle encounter rates to estimate the quality of the visitor experience in any particular zone in the protected area concerned. However, at an early stage in this planning process, it was decided that the vehicle encounter rate approach is not appropriate in the MMNR. This is because of the very high density of official and unofficial game viewing roads and tracks in the Reserve, which makes it very difficult to accurately assess the total track lengths available in each zone, a key requirement of the encounter rate approach. Another issue impacting on the usefulness of the encounter rate approach is that, with such high densities of track networks and with relatively high visibility throughout much of the MMNR, the quality of the visitor experience in any zone not only depends on the frequency of encounters with other vehicles on a track, but also on the number of vehicles that are seen across a viewshed; i.e., on neighbouring or even relatively distant tracks (especially in the case of highly visible white vehicles).
For these reasons, an alternative approach to understanding current and future levels of visitor use in the different MMNR zones was developed as part of this planning process, based on the calculation of visitor densities (i.e. number of visitors per sq km). To develop estimates of visitor densities, it was first necessary to carry out a comprehensive inventory of accommodation facilities not only within the Reserve, but also located in the Greater Mara Ecosystem, whose visitors to varying degrees make use of the Reserve. The inventory was built up using existing sources of information, such as facility inventories that have been made by KATO and Campfire Ltd, as well as site visits by the planning team to individual tourism facilities and information sent to the planners by tourism stakeholders operating in the greater ecosystem. For each facility, the type of facility (e.g. lodge, permanent tented camp, etc.), the number of beds, and the location (with GPS coordinates wherever possible) were recorded. The resulting database, while not fully comprehensive (new facilities are still being constructed at a rapid pace) provides a ground-breaking and perhaps startling picture of the extent and intensity of tourism development that has occurred in the ecosystem over recent years. As shown below overpage, there are now at least 140 tourism facilities in the Greater Mara Ecosystem, comprising more than 4,100 beds in total. This data serves to underscore the intense tourism developmentand visitor use pressure onthe wider ecosystem and, as far as this current planning process is concerned, on the Mara National Reserve itself.
graphic
Taking into account more detailed surveys, there are two major conclusions to draw from these findings:
1. Measures need to be incorporated into this management plan designed to encourage tourism facilities located outside the Reserve to make more use of the Greater Mara Ecosystem rather than relying on the Reserve itself as their primary tourism product. The development and promotion of such measures has the additional benefits of encouraging conservation compatible land-use and the creation of community conservancies in the greater ecosystem. This in turn will help promote the preservation of wildlife dispersal areas and migration routes that are critical to the MMNR (see Ecological Management Programme) as well as the enhancement of conservation-based economic benefits for the local communities.
2. Because of the very high visitor use pressures on the Reserve originating from outside the MMNR, there is very little scope for developing any new accommodation facilities within the Reserve, without risking irreversible damage to the Reserve’s tourism product and the exceptional ecological values upon which the tourism product depends. This is despite the fact that, without the greater understanding of visitor use of the Reserve provided by the Mara Tourism Facilities Database and associated visitor use models, it may at first glance appear that there is still some scope for tourism facility development in the Reserve.